Showing posts with label tulane football 2013. Show all posts
Showing posts with label tulane football 2013. Show all posts

And like that, the Superdome era is over for the Tulane University Green Wave. On Nov. 23, the team completed the very last chapter in its generally un-storied history with the cavernous Superdome.

Of course, it hand to end in the most uncharacteristic way: a 45-3 beatdown against a struggling UTEP Miners squad. In the end, the Green Wave got it done, and they left the Superdome on a rare high note, even still involved in the conference race.

Here are the quick reactions.

1. Wide Receiver Ryan Grant looks like an NFL caliber wide receiver every time this offense is clicking at all. Today, he put up over 100 yards with two touchdowns to boot. Grant is a dominant receiver with next-level talent.

2. Despite the many successes of this 2013 season, Tulane has not really dominated any opponent other than Playoff Division Jackson State. This UTEP game definitely looked like a statement that the team was refocused and ready to finish strong.

3. The Miners put up 39 yards of rushing. For much of the first half, they struggled to put up any type of yardage. The Green Wave defense gave up almost nothing today.

4. Tulane moves to 5-2 in the conference. UT San Antonio, fresh off its win two weeks ago against Tulane, sits at 5-2 with the tiebreaker over the Green Wave. UNT now is 5-2, but loses the tiebreaker to both Tulane and UT San Antonio.

Here are the remaining scenarios as to how the West Division will be decided.

A. Rice beats Tulane. The Owls would finish at 7-1 and would win the division outright. They control their own destiny. RESULT: RICE OWLS: 

B. UT San Antonio beats Louisiana Tech and Tulane beats Rice. Rice and UTSA would tie at 6-2, but Rice controls the tiebreaker with San Antonio by head-to-head victory.

  • UNT Scenario - UNT WINS: If UNT beats Tulsa in this scenario, UNT would be 6-2 as well. This creates a tie at 6-2 among Tulane, San Antonio, UNT, and Rice. Tulane and UTSA are both 2-1 against this group, so they would effectively tie for first. Then, it goes to head-to-head, and UTSA's victory would send the Roadrunners to the title and leave Tulane in second. 
RESULT: UTSA ROADRUNNERS

C. Tulane beats Rice. UTSA loses to Louisiana Tech. UNT outcome does not matter. In this scenario, Tulane, Rice, and UNT finish at 6-2, moving UTSA back to 5-3. Tulane would control the head-to-head with both Rice and UNT. RESULT: TULANE GREEN WAVE 

D. Under no scenario can UNT make it to the conference championship, regardless of the outcome of the Mean Green's game with Tulsa next week. At this point, UNT's stake is simply to figure out seeding and improve its chance to appear in a better bowl game (probably Heart of Dallas would be ideal for Mean Green at this stage).

E. The Louisiana Tech factor. The Bulldogs are playing Tulsa at the moment. If they manage to pick up the win, they will head to UT San Antonio next week with bowl eligibility still on the line. Can't help to think that we should be rooting for LT to have something on the line next week! 

Whew. Altogether, it comes down to this. Rice can win, and they're in. If Tulane wins, it either sends the Green Wave to the championship or propels UT San Antonio to the title game. 

I guess this is what it feels like to have the late season matter? Roll wave. 

No other way to slice it. This was a rough weekend for me as a sports fan. After the shellacking that the Pittsburgh Steelers endured at the hands of the Patriots today, that would be bad enough alone to ruin my sports weekend. However, after a 34-17 meltdown in Boca Raton yesterday, things are pretty rough right now.

That said, the sky hasn't fallen on Tulane yet, as disappointing as Saturday turned out to be. Tulane is still off to its best start in-conference since the otherworldly 1998 season at 4-1. Moreover, they have two great opportunities coming up in UT San Antonio and UTEP before the final dance with the Rice Owls.

Here are the Power Rankings for Conference USA: Week 11. I'll attach last week's rank, in addition to each team's record, for you reference. Weigh in below in the comments or on Twitter @fearthewaveblog.
---
14. Southern Mississippi (0-8 Record // 0-4 in CUSA // L to Marshall) [14th]
Notes: Dumpster fire. It shouldn't count as a win unless you put up 50+ on the Golden Eagles this season.

13. Florida International (1-7 Record // 0-3 in CUSA // L to ECU) [12th]

12. UTEP (1-6 Record // 0-4 in CUSA // L to Texas A&M) [13th]
Notes: Moving UTEP up one spot because the Miners played a first quarter of competitive football against a vastly superior team, before Johnny Manziel decided to shift into gear. That was the end of that.

11. UAB (2-6 Record // 1-3 in CUSA // L to MTSU) [11th]
Notes: Played a close game against Middle Tennessee State University, but a good loss won't be good enough to jumpstart their season.

10. Tulsa (2-6 Record // 1-3 in CUSA // L to UTSA) [9th]
Notes: Tulsa's stock continues to freefall. The Golden Hurricanes, one year removed from playing the conference championship, took a beating at the hands of UT San Antonio. This officially is a lost year for the Oklahoma squad.

9. Louisiana Tech (3-5 Record // 2-2 in CUSA // Bye) [8th]

8. Middle Tennessee State (5-4 Record // 3-2 in Conference // W against UAB) [6th]
Notes: Downgrading MTSU after a win doesn't make a lot of sense. However, they showed their vulnerability against UAB, and a couple of other squads produced more firepower in Week 10.

7. Florida Atlantic University (3-6 Record // 2-4 in CUSA // W against Tulane) [10th]
Notes: Bumping FAU after taking down conference-leader Tulane in a convincing fashion. After facing national humiliation at the hands of their coaching staff, this team found a way to get fired up and protect their Homecoming. The FAU Owls could still claw their way into bowl eligibility, especially with a weak schedule in front of them.

6. UT San Antonio (4-5 Record // 3-2 in CUSA // W against Tulsa) [7th]
Notes: UTSA's stock continues to rise. This week, they laid a smackdown on Tulsa's home field that effectively ended the Golden Hurricanes' season. UTSA is working their way into bowl eligibility, and you can expect that they will be fired up for a home matchup against Tulane this weekend.

5. Marshall (5-3 Record // 3-1 in CUSA // W against USM) [5th]

4. Tulane (6-3 Record // 4-1 in CUSA // L against FAU) [2nd]
Notes: At this level, the top five teams are very tightly bunched, reflecting the final five in both divisions. Here's the deal. The Green Wave is absolutely still in position to control its own destiny over the next three games. The key variable will be Coach CJ's ability to figure out this offense and produce a stable passing game. Without that, UTSA will be a trap game, and Rice could become very challenging as well.

3. Rice (6-3 Record // 4-1 in CUSA // L against UNT) [1st]
Notes: Rice is still ahead of the Green Wave because, simply put, they played better ball on the road against UNT. The Owls still have a great shot to win the conference, as victories against Louisiana Tech and UAB will 100% give Rice a "win-and-you're-in" scenario in the final week of the regular season.

2. UNT (6-3 Record // 4-1 in CUSA // W against Rice) [4th]
Notes: The Mean Green look hungry. The biggest factor working against them is that they would lose the tiebreaker with Tulane due to a head-to-head loss earlier this year. So for that reason, expect the fans in Denton to be pulling hard for the Green Wave's opponents in this final stretch.

1. ECU (6-2 Record // 4-1 in CUSA // W against FIU) [3rd]
Notes: Remember that outlive, outlast, outplay slogan that "Survivor" used to use? That pretty much describes the Pirates' placement this week. They are continuing to take care of business, and they control their own destiny to win the East Division. A final matchup with Marshall could determine the divisional champion if the Thundering Herd remain error free over the next two weeks.

At this moment, the University of North Texas is leading the 4-0 Rice Owls in the fourth quarter. While I have learned not to speculate at such moments, it did spark my interest in clarifying Conference USA's tiebreaker formula to determine the divisional champions.

As we all know, in Conference USA West, we currently have the following setup:
1. Tulane: 4-0 in CUSA and 6-2 Overall
1. Rice: 4-0 in CUSA and 6-2 Overall
3. North Texas: 3-1 in CUSA* and 5-3 Overall
* indicates that UNT has already lost to Tulane. More on that.

Now the perplexing thing is that Conference USA does not seem to have an official post establishing their formula for tiebreakers. Here's their "Format" site for 2013, which provides no mention of tiebreakers for the division.

I keep reminding myself that it's the last year for us... Anyway, from what I gathered while cross-referencing past seasons as well as several C-USA message boards, here's the "Fear the Wave somewhat official tiebreaker" for Conference USA football's divisions.

1. The best record in Conference USA-play will advance.
2. If tied, the head-to-head matchup decides who advances
3. If still tied, divisional record would be the next measure (which is weird, as teams in the same division will play each other each year)

So there you have it. Let's say that hypothetically, a school in Denton, TX (3-1) was playing a school in Houston, TX (4-0). That Denton teams wins, making each team 4-1. Then, the Denton U would then control the tiebreaker over Houston.

Now let's say there is an additional team from Louisiana, in this example. They are 4-0 and have not played Houston, but they have already beaten Denton. In other words, they control the tiebreaker with Denton but would lose to Houston if both had the same record in-conference and Houston handed Louisiana its only loss (7-1 and 7-1, Houston advances).

However, if Houston lost to Denton and one additional game, Louisiana would still advance even if it lost to Houston (Louisiana 7-1, Denton 7-1*, Houston 6-2).

Now, for any of these scenarios, let's say that both East and West divisions produced a tied in-conference record. If both teams were 7-1, let's say, the order would be the following to determine the Conference USA Championship host:

1. Record in-conference
2. Head-to-head record, if available
3. Highest ranking under the BCS ranking model

That format is confirmed here by CSTV.

So what does that all mean? It would be stellar if Tulane can win them all coming down the line. But if nothing else, the team absolutely controls its own fate in this final stretch of the season.

**UPDATE on the Results of UNT vs. Rice: 
Shortly after capturing the Conference USA Player of the Week honors for Defense, Tulane Safety Sam Scofield picked up another piece of hardware.

By national selection, Scofield was chosen as the Football Writers Association of America's top defensive player across all of college football.

Scofield recorded 18 tackles in last weekend's matchup against the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes. Not a typo. 18. Scofield was everywhere. He also contributed to the Tulane turnover margin with a nice forced fumble.

Congrats to Scofield and the Green Wave squad, once again.

Coming off of a four game winning streak, Tulane will pack its bags for a trip to Florida Atlantic University with the hope of spoiling their Homecoming game.

Bulletin board material of the week? Tulane is a 4-point underdog to the 2-6 Florida Atlantic. Never fear. In the six wins this season thus far, the Green Wave has played as the dog 5 out of 6 times. The lone exception? The folks out in Vegas did have faith in the Wave to beat the subdivision Jackson State.

Here's the link roundup. Catch up on your Green Wave.
---

1. CBS Sports - Tulane is up to 46th in the latest BCS standings, making the Green Wave the highest performing team in C-USA thus far. If you put any value in that, both Rice and ECU are almost equally ranked going into Week 10.

2. The Advocate - The ongoing debate over the Tulane Legislative Scholarship program has now reached Ben Weiner Drive. The Advocate alleges that the baseball team, in particular, has feasted on these scholarships given by legislators across Louisiana.

3. ESPN College Football - ESPN continues to place Tulane in the R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl against UL-Lafayette. While worse snubs have happened, it seems unlikely that Tulane will crumble with FAU, UT-SA, and UTEP left on the schedule. The New Orleans Bowl is the lowest ranked bowl that C-USA currently is tied to.

4. USA Today Sports - In their re-rank of college football, they have elevated Tulane to 40th in the nation. The team was originally predicted to finish 109th on the year.

5. USA Today Sports - A second USA Today piece highlights Tulane and Duke as the "doormat" programs finally taking revenge on college football in 2013. Another nice profile for the squad.

6. Here's a fan video of the celebration after the Tulsa victory. I don't know that the sheer number of fans really reflect the team's progress yet, but the passion definitely seems to be picking up.